Dilutive Financing (JMP)
(pdf; Jan 13, 2026)
Presented at: FRB Richmond-UVA-Duke Macro Workshop 2025 (PhD session), ESWC 2025, FTG Summer Conference 2025, FIRS 2025 (PhD session), MFS Workshop 2025 (PhD poster session), AFA Annual Meeting 2025 (PhD poster session), EGSC 2024
Abstract: This paper presents a dynamic model of firm financing where firms use financial slack to reduce rent extraction by financiers possessing bargaining power. Financing is lumpy because it is optimal to bargain infrequently. Moreover, firms may finance ‘early’ before exhausting internal funds to bargain when their outside options are better. Financing rents are thus endogenous to firms' dynamic financing strategy. Firms with good financing alternatives raise financing early to reduce rents, whereas firms lacking such alternatives raise financing after exhausting funds to avoid paying large rents too frequently. Given heterogeneous productivity, investment irreversibility increases average and dispersion of financing rents.
Firms with better access to (alternative) financing do not necessarily keep less funds, because they may optimally choose to raise funds earlier with more funds (i.e., have higher financing threshold). By doing so, these firms can improve their bargaining position vis-à-vis financiers and reduce financing rents.
Abstract: This paper develops a model of startup innovation where financing frictions in implementing successful innovations concentrate prior innovation activity. Because funds are more valuable ex-post upon success of innovation than failure, there exists within-firm complementarity ex-ante between innovation and savings. Consequently, startup funds have increasing returns to scale, concentrating innovation towards well-funded startups that additionally raise costly entrepreneurial financing. Non-innovators exhibit perfect inelasticitiy to financing costs – but only locally. Utilizing a model of financing frictions that enables tractable aggregation, I show that time-sensitiveness in implementation increases concentration while ease of `killer acquisitions' decreases it. Concentration is amplified in general equilibrium.
Complementarity between innovation and savings gives rise to increasing returns (i.e., locally increasing marginal value). Given costly entrepreneurial financing, innovation is endogenously concentrated towards well-funded entrepreneurs who raise more funds, whereas poorly-funded entrepreneurs self-select into financial autarky.
Firm Divergence
Motivation: This project aims to explore business-cycle implications of the distribution of financial slack across firms. Instead of focusing on 'financial accelerator' upon an adverse negative shock, I focus on (i) the cross-section of firms' optimal financing strategies during recessions, (ii) how it affects the aggregate dynamics of acquisitions during recovery, and (iii) how the effect dynamically intensifies the size discrepancy between productive and unproductive firms – and hence, 'divergence.' A brief sketch of the core mechanism: lumpiness of capital reallocation – in the form of acquisitions – interacts with optimal financing strategy under bargaining frictions, and the pattern of this interaction is endogenously heterogeneous across firm productivity.